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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

1.17776 +0.00205 (+0.17%) 07/04/25 [FOREX]
1.17710 x N/A 1.17780 x N/A
underlying price ()
Overview for Fri, Jul 4th, 2025
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Day Low
1.17537
Day High
1.17874
Open 1.17570
Previous Close 1.17571 1.17571
YTD High 1.18295 1.18295
YTD Low 1.01776 1.01776
Stochastic %K 86.56% 86.56%
Weighted Alpha +11.66 +11.66
5-Day Change +0.00586 (+0.50%) +0.00586 (+0.50%)
52-Week Range 1.01776 - 1.18295 1.01776 - 1.18295
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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Moves Higher on Stronger-Than-Expected US Payroll Report

The dollar index (DXY00) on Thursday rose by +0.42%.  The dollar rallied after the stronger-than-expected US payroll report of +147,000 suggested continued strength in the US economy. The dollar also saw support from improved interest rate differentials, with the 10-year T-note moving higher by +7 bp. The dollar also had support as the market cut the chances of a Fed rate cut at the upcoming July 29-30 meeting to 5% from 23% on Wednesday.

By contrast, the dollar was undercut by reduced safe-haven demand with Thursday's rally in stocks.  Also, the US trade deficit report was mildly bearish for the dollar. 

The May US trade deficit of -$71.5 billion was slightly larger than expectations of -$71.0 billion, and was up from April's revised -$60.3 billion deficit. May exports fell -4.0% m/m.  May imports fell -0.1% m/m, adding to April's -16.3% plunge.

The House passed the Senate's reconciliation bill on Thursday afternoon, sending it to President Trump for his signature... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 24, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
417,363 (+2,634)
581,664 (+5,914)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
223,791 (+2,980)
112,656 (-6,602)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
31,477 (+2,731)
458,976 (+5,766)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
458,163 (+1,501)
120,432 (-3,152)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
88,638 (+519)
67,545 (-5,145)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
35,105 (+410)
19,596 (+1,390)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.13718 +3.57%
on 06/06/25
Period Open: 1.14192
1.18295 -0.44%
on 07/01/25
+0.03584 (+3.14%)
since 06/04/25
3-Month
1.08862 +8.19%
on 04/07/25
Period Open: 1.09637
1.18295 -0.44%
on 07/01/25
+0.08139 (+7.42%)
since 04/04/25
52-Week
1.01776 +15.72%
on 01/13/25
Period Open: 1.08125
1.18295 -0.44%
on 07/01/25
+0.09651 (+8.93%)
since 07/04/24

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Stock Market Today: Stock Rise on Hope for Resumption of Trade and Data Winds

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EURAUD And EURNZD Pairs Are Ready For A Continuation Lower

EURAUD and EURNZD currency pairs made a nice and clean three-wave ABC corrective rally, from where we may now see a continuation lower by Elliott wave theory.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 100% Buy with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

The market is approaching overbought territory. Be watchful of a trend reversal.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.18258
2nd Resistance Point 1.18066
1st Resistance Point 1.17921
Last Price 1.17776
1st Support Level 1.17584
2nd Support Level 1.17392
3rd Support Level 1.17247

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52-Week High 1.18295
Last Price 1.17776
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.11985
Fibonacci 50% 1.10035
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.08086
52-Week Low 1.01776

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